DUELING POLLS CONFUSE VENEZUELAN VOTERS
The Miami Herald
Nov. 29, 2006
CARACAS - With less than a week to go before Venezuela's presidential election,
supporters of both President Hugo Chávez and his main rival, Manuel Rosales, are confident of victory
-- thanks in part to an opinion-poll war in which the truth appears to have been the first casualty.
''I've worked a lot in elections, in different countries,'' said Carolina Bescansa,
a political science professor from the Complutense University in Madrid. ``But I've never seen anything
like this.''
There are polls to suit all tastes and political tendencies, ranging from
those that project a Chávez victory by more than 30 points in the Sunday balloting to a dubious
few that give a clear margin to Rosales, the candidate of a broad opposition coalition.
With both the pro-government and pro-opposition media stressing polls that show their
favorites ahead and dismissing other surveys as lies and manipulations, neutral voters
have been confused and committed voters have become convinced that only fraud can deprive their man of victory.
MEXICAN REPORT CITES LEADERS FOR ‘DIRTY WAR’
The New York Times
November 23, 2006
MEXICO CITY, Nov. 22 — Just before leaving office, the administration of President
Vicente Fox has quietly put out a voluminous report that for the first time states unequivocally that
past governments carried out a covert campaign of murder and torture against dissidents and guerrillas
from the late 1960s through the early 1980s.
The 800-page report is the first acceptance of responsibility by the government for what
is known here as the “dirty war,” in which the police and the army are believed to have executed more than
700 people without trial, in many cases after torture. It also represents the fulfillment of Mr. Fox’s vow
when elected in 2000 to expose the truth about an ugly chapter in Mexico’s history.
“The Mexican government has never officially accepted responsibility for these crimes,”
said Kate Doyle, the director of the Mexico project of the National Security Archive, a private research
group at George Washington University.
OF RUBBER AND BLOOD IN BRAZILIAN AMAZON
The New Cork Times
November 23, 2006
RIO BRANCO, Brazil — Alcidino dos Santos was on his way to the market to buy vegetables
for his mother one morning in 1942 when an army officer stopped him and told him he was being drafted as a
“rubber soldier.” Men were needed in the Amazon, 3,000 miles away, to harvest rubber for the Allied war
effort, he was told, and it was his patriotic duty to serve.
Mr. dos Santos, then a 19-year-old mason’s assistant, protested that his mother was
a widow who depended on him for support, but to no avail. He would be paid a wage of 50 cents a day, he
recalls being told, and receive free transportation home once the conflict was over, but he had to go,
that day.
More than 60 years after the end of World War II, Mr. dos Santos and hundreds of other
poor Brazilians who were dragooned into service as rubber soldiers are still in the Amazon, waiting for
those promises to be fulfilled. Elderly and frail, they are fighting against time and indifference to
gain the recognition and compensation they believe should be theirs.
DIVIDED VENEZUELANS UNITED ON COSTLY POLICY OF CHEAP GAS
The Washington Post
November 23, 2006
CARACAS, Venezuela -- Jesús Vivas drives a 26-year-old clunker with rusted fenders,
ripped upholstery and a tattered carpet. With a wheeze, a plume of smoke and a walruslike roar, the wreck
he calls a taxi accelerates down congested streets. About the only thing that works well is a new radio,
which blares accordion-laced folk music.
But he's not worried. Operating his four-door Malibu across Caracas, day and night,
costs less than $4, thanks to gasoline that, at 17 cents a gallon, is considered the cheapest in the world.
"Gasoline prices here in Venezuela are very good," said Vivas, 25, in the kind of characteristically
understated comments Venezuelans make about fuel costs. "We cabbies circulate all over. Here in Caracas
it's cheap, and you can go the whole day."
The credit, as every Venezuelan knows, goes to government subsidies and price
controls -- part of a policy that dates back decades and has infused people here with a sense of
entitlement to Venezuela's vast oil deposits. In this famously polarized country, where President
Hugo Chávez's government and a strident opposition never have anything good to say about each other,
there is agreement about at least one thing: gas. The country's policy is unalterable, a hip-hip-hurrah
for cheap fuel that is seconded by truckers, industrialists and suburban soccer moms in their SUVs.
POLL: 59% WOULD REELECT CHÁVEZ
The Miami Herald
Nov. 24, 2006
CARACAS - A strong majority of Venezuelans plan to cast their ballots for President Hugo
Chávez on Dec. 3, with most saying the fiery opponent of President Bush has handled government and foreign
relations well, according to a poll that revealed deep divisions along class lines.
About 59 percent of likely voters said they would vote for Chávez for a third term,
while 27 percent said they would support opposition candidate Manuel Rosales. Thirteen percent of those
surveyed by the polling firm Ipsos for The Associated Press said they were undecided or wouldn't answer.
Since Chávez was elected in 1998, the leftist president has become perhaps Latin America's most
controversial leader while gaining notoriety worldwide as a critic of the U.S. government.
At home, the poll showed, Venezuelans are generally content with the country's direction,
with 61 percent of all respondents saying Venezuela is moving in the right direction and 31 percent saying
it's on the wrong track.
The survey found sharp differences in voting preference depending on income. The wealthiest likely
voters solidly supported Rosales, while the middle class appeared split and the poorest overwhelmingly
backed Chávez over Rosales -- 70 percent to 16 percent.
COMING TO GRIPS WITH MEXICO'S BLOODY PAST
OUR OPINION: PRESIDENT FOX PASSES HOT POTATOES TO SUCCESSOR
The Miami Herald
Nov. 24, 2006
Of nearly all the countries in Latin America with a hidden history of involvement
in political repression and human-rights violations, none has been more reluctant to confront its past
than Mexico. That's why a recent government report that three Mexican presidents from the 1960s to the
1980s were involved in massacres, tortures and the murder of political opponents is both useful and
necessary.
Public hearing needed
Useful because it opens the door to a full-scale examination of how a nation that
claimed democratic status could have tolerated such abuses. The report must be followed up by public
hearings that allow Mexicans to know all the sordid details: Who gave what orders? Who carried them
out? Only then will the people of Mexico be able to come to terms with their nation's history.
S. FLA. GROUPS UNITE IN DRIVE TO OUST CHÁVEZ
The Miami Herald
Nov. 25, 2006
Argenis Ecarri is ready for the Venezuelan presidential elections.
Three months ago, he and 53 of his friends went to their homeland's consulate and changed
their voter registration so they could cast ballots in South Florida on Dec. 3. The friends have also organized
carpools to the polls on election day and a tailgating party once they get there, all in an effort to help
opposition candidate Manuel Rosales defeat firebrand President Hugo Chávez.
''What's at stake is our country's democracy and the possibility of one day returning there,''
said Ecarri, 37, a Doral resident. ``If Chávez wins, our hopes of that are pretty slim.''
That sense of urgency has gripped the broader anti-Chávez Venezuelan community in recent
months, driving previously feuding organizations to unite to work for his defeat.
ECUADOR’S PATH AND ALLIANCES AT STAKE IN RUNOFF ELECTION
The New York Times
November 26, 2006
QUITO, Ecuador, Nov. 25 — No one can accuse Ecuador, which will elect its eighth president
in 10 years on Sunday, of dull politics.
Rafael Correa, a candidate in Sunday’s runoff, strums a guitar before audiences between
promises to whip Ecuador’s political elite with his belt and shut the last American military base in South
America. He chastises the Bush administration in the polished English he learned while earning a doctorate
in economics at the University of Illinois.
Álvaro Noboa, his rival, is a billionaire who hands out free computers and fistfuls of
dollars at his rallies. Mr. Noboa, a banana tycoon who is Ecuador’s richest man, dropped to his knees this
month at a campaign stop to ask for votes as a self-described “messiah of the poor.”
But the contest is far more than entertaining; the outcome could actually redraw power
relations in Latin America.
IN ECUADORAN VOTE, RHETORIC GIVES WAY TO POPULAR PLEDGES
The Washington Post
November 26, 2006
QUITO, Ecuador, Nov. 25 -- No matter who wins Ecuador's presidential election on Sunday,
many outside the country will view it as a decision between dueling political stereotypes: Venezuelan
President Hugo Ch?vez's dream of a unified region liberated from U.S. influence, or that of free-market
backers embracing a globalized economy.
For most who will actually make the choice, it's nothing of the sort.
Public opinion polls show leftist economist Rafael Correa and banana tycoon Alvaro Noboa
locked in a near dead heat, and in recent weeks broad ideological rhetoric has given way to specific promises
of concrete and cash. Each candidate has tried to one-up the other with vows of massive government housing
projects, new jobs and low-interest loans.
In a country where no president has served a full term in more than a decade, voters want to see some
tangible results from their next leader, and it matters little what overarching political philosophy
stands behind his pledges.
The campaign since last month's first-round election has been bitterly divisive, with repeated allegations
of electoral fraud, increasing the possibility that either candidate would face a rough honeymoon. Throw
in serious doubts about the pre-election promises -- some are simply unfeasible, according to analysts
-- and many fear that the election will do little to ease Ecuador's chronic political instability.
LEFTIST CANDIDATE IN ECUADOR IS AHEAD IN VOTE, EXIT POLLS SHOW
The New York Times
November 27, 2006
QUITO, Ecuador, Nov. 26 — Rafael Correa, an urbane economist who has rattled nerves in
Washington with plans to limit American military activities in Ecuador and renegotiate the country’s foreign
debt, seemed headed to an easy victory on Sunday in the presidential election, according to several exit
polls.
A win by Mr. Correa, 43, could bring Ecuador into a group of Latin American nations with
leftist presidents, including Bolivia, Cuba and Nicaragua, which are allied with President Hugo Chávez of
Venezuela. Mr. Correa has close ties to Mr. Chávez, whose government is prepared to offer Ecuador assistance
to strengthen its national oil company.
“Chávez must be smiling in Caracas,” said Vicente Albornoz, director of Cordes, an economic
research group here. “But what I’m more worried about is Ecuador going through a period of conflict and
instability.”
PROTESTERS SET BUILDINGS ON FIRE IN EMBATTLED OAXACA
The New York Times
November 27, 2006
OAXACA, Mexico, Nov. 26 (AP) — Leftist protesters trying to force out the Oaxaca state
governor set fire to another building Sunday after a night of burning government offices and vehicles
in running street battles with the police that injured at least 43 people.
The violence broke out late Saturday after masked youths broke away from a protest march
by about 4,000 people and began attacking the police and buildings in Oaxaca city.
Youths hurled rocks, fireworks and gasoline bombs in a failed attempt to encircle the
federal police holding the main square.
In late October, security forces took the square back from protesters who had held it for months
demanding that Gov. Ulises Ruiz resign, accusing him of corruption.
The police on Saturday drove off attackers with tear gas and jets of water from tanker trucks,
then advanced in massed ranks to drive protesters out of a camp at a smaller plaza two blocks from
the main square.
EXILE SEEKS RETURN OF $1.5M HE SAYS WAS FOR ANTI-CASTRO PLOT
The Miami Herald
Nov. 27, 2006
José Antonio Llama spends much of his retirement stewing in his art-filled Miami home
about one incomplete mission: the death of Fidel Castro.
But the 75-year-old Cuban exile is haunted by another obsession: Recovering nearly $1.5
million that he says his former allies owe him for his purchase of planes, boats, a helicopter and explosives.
Llama, who once owned an air-conditioning business, claims he put up all that money for
a secret ''war council'' that consisted of members of a powerful exile lobbying group, the Cuban American
National Foundation. He further alleges they reneged on their spoken promise to share the cost of paramilitary
activities against the Cuban government and its communist leader.
EXIT POLLS SHOW ECUADOR'S CORREA HAS WIDE LEAD
The Miami Herald
Nov. 27, 2006
QUITO - Three exit polls showed Ph.D economist Rafael Correa defeated billionaire
businessman Alvaro Noboa in Sunday's runoff for president. If the results hold, it would be another
startling setback for U.S. free-trade policies in the region and another victory for Latin America's
leftist politicians.
Official results were not yet available, but the 43-year-old Correa and virtually every
local media organization took the polls to indicate a surprising victory for a man who has never been elected
to a public office here and was behind in these same polls up until the last few days of the second round
of the elections.
''We've begun to recuperate the country,'' Correa told his followers and the media in a packed Dann Carlton
Hotel in Quito. ``This isn't the end of the job, this is the beginning.''
FIRST RETURNS INDICATE WIN FOR ECUADORAN REFORMER
The Washington Post
November 27, 2006
QUITO, Ecuador, Nov. 26 -- Early returns suggested that a young reformer promising to
break free from the country's traditional power brokers defeated the nation's wealthiest man in Sunday's
election to become Ecuador's eighth president in a decade.
The race between economist Rafael Correa, 43, and banana magnate Alvaro Noboa, 56,
offered voters a choice between conflicting views of the nation's role in a globalized world. If Correa
wins, Ecuador will join Venezuela and Bolivia as Andean countries led by presidents who are critical of
U.S. influence in the region and advocate a greater state role in the economy.
Correa opposes U.S.-backed trade pacts that he says work against Ecuador's interests.
He promises not to renew U.S. rights to a military base used for anti-drug operations. And he has
threatened to not pay foreign debts he considers illegitimate and to instead use the money to increase
social spending. Noboa had argued that an unrestrained free market was key to wooing foreign investment,
and he pledged to cut ties with Venezuela's Hugo Ch?vez, whom Correa considers a friend.
[With about 21 percent of the ballot counted early Monday, Correa had 65 percent compared to 35 percent for
Noboa, the Associated Press reported, citing Ecuador's Supreme Electoral Tribunal. The results were
consistent with an unofficial quick count by a citizens election watchdog group and exit polls.]
NICARAGUA'S TOTAL BAN ON ABORTION SPURS CRITICS
The Washington Post
November 28, 2006
MANAGUA, Nicaragua -- Jazmina Bojorge arrived at Managua's Fernando Vélez Paiz Hospital
on a Tuesday evening, nearly five months pregnant and racked with fever and abdominal pain. By the following
Thursday morning, both the pretty 18-year-old and the female fetus in her womb were dead.
The mystery of what happened during the intervening 36 hours might not ordinarily have
catapulted Bojorge into the headlines of a nation with one of the highest maternal mortality rates in the
Western Hemisphere.
But a week before her death on Nov. 2, Nicaragua's legislature had voted to ban all
abortions, eliminating long-standing exceptions for rape, malformation of the fetus and risk to the life
or health of the mother. Now, outraged opponents of the legislation have declared Bojorge its first victim.
"It's clear that fear of punishment kept the doctors from doing what they needed to do to save her -- which
was to abort the pregnancy immediately," said Juanita Jiménez of the Women's Autonomous Movement, an advocacy
group that is leading the campaign to reverse the ban. "This is exactly what we warned would happen if this
law was passed. We've been taken back to the Middle Ages."
ELECTRONIC VOTE DISTRUSTED IN VENEZUELA
The Miami Herald
Nov. 28, 2006
CARACAS, Venezuela - Under pressure from opponents of President Hugo Chavez,
Venezuela's elections council has adopted safeguards for the country's electronic voting machines
to prevent tampering in Sunday's election - conditions so strict that experts say they surpass
some standards in the United States.
The opposition boycotted Venezuela's legislative elections a year ago, saying it couldn't
trust that the electronic machines would be used fairly. But after thorough checks of hardware and software
and some key concessions by electoral officials, presidential challenger Manuel Rosales says he's satisfied
- as long as the agreed-upon rules are respected.
"The Venezuelan people and I hope that the electoral council doesn't step outside the rules,
that it maintains impartiality," Rosales said Monday. "I'm going to defend the transparency and the results
of this process, even if it's with my last breath."
LAWMAKERS MIX IT UP IN MEXICO CONGRESS
The Miami Herald
Nov. 28, 2006
MEXICO CITY - Leftist and ruling party lawmakers came to blows in Congress Tuesday
amid preparations for the inauguration of President-elect Felipe Calderon, who named to his Cabinet a
career ambassador and a governor tied to a violent crackdown on demonstrators.
Tuesday's fight was likely a preview of protests to come as Calderon prepares to be sworn
in Friday, taking charge of a fiercely divided nation after beating leftist Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador by
less than a percentage point.
The congressional chaos began after conservative legislators took over the podium, amid
rumors that leftist lawmakers planned to seize Congress, as they did before President Vicente Fox's Sept.
1 state-of-the-nation speech.
The leftists quickly followed, and scuffles broke out as Jorge Zermeno, the president of the lower house,
called repeatedly for calm. He then suspended the session until Friday's inauguration, but lawmakers from
both parties remained in the chambers, refusing to leave. Party leaders were in talks to end the standoff.
A LOOK AT 4 NEW MEXICO CABINET MEMBERS
The Miami Herald
Nov. 28, 2006
FOREIGN SECRETARY PATRICIA ESPINOSA
Previous office: Mexican ambassador to several European countries, including Germany,
Slovakia, Slovenia and most recently, Austria. She has served in the foreign service for more than 25 years.
Education: Bachelor's degree in international relations from Mexico's prestigious Colegio de
Mexico in Mexico City.
INTERIOR SECRETARY FRANCISCO JAVIER RAMIREZ
Previous Office: Governor of Jalisco state from 2001-2006, left office early to join Calderon's team.
Education: Law degree from the University of Guadalajara.
ECONOMIST MAINTAINS STRONG LEAD IN ECUADOR VOTE
The Washington Post
November 28, 2006
QUITO, Ecuador, Nov. 27 -- Electoral officials Monday reported that economist Rafael
Correa maintained a comfortable lead over his opponent in Sunday's presidential election, supporting
several exit polls that had earlier predicted his victory.
With nearly 86 percent of ballots counted, Correa led with 68.9 percent of the vote,
while banana baron Alvaro Noboa had 31.1 percent. Correa had already claimed victory and named several
cabinet members on Sunday, but Noboa said Monday that he would not concede defeat until all votes were
counted.
Correa, an outspoken critic of the Bush administration, reiterated Monday that he
would not renew U.S. access to a military base in Ecuador and would reject a U.S.-backed hemispheric
free-trade agreement. Earlier, he had said he planned to renegotiate the country's foreign debt and
rewrite the constitution.
Many of Correa's economic and foreign policy views are similar to those advocated by other leaders in the
region, including Bolivia's Evo Morales and Venezuela's Hugo Ch?vez, whom Correa describes as a friend.
Correa said his first act after a January inauguration would be to call for a popular referendum to
convene a constituent assembly. Both Venezuela and Bolivia have convened similar assemblies in recent
years to rewrite constitutions that their presidents said encouraged the consolidation of power in
the hands of traditional political elites.
ECUADOR'S PRESIDENT-ELECT UNCOMPROMISING
The Miami Herald
Nov. 28, 2006
QUITO, Ecuador - Ecuador's president-elect Rafael Correa was once a Boy Scout, later
a social worker in an impoverished highland Indian village and now describes himself as a Christian leftist.
Childhood friends still recall Correa's natural leadership abilities and strong character
on the soccer field.
But during his run for the presidency, the tall and charismatic nationalist picked up
a reputation for also being confrontational and uncompromising, traits that could add to Ecuador's
political instability when he takes office in January.
Correa, a friend of Venezuela's firebrand President Hugo Chavez, defeated banana tycoon Alvaro Noboa,
56, in Sunday's presidential runoff.
He has called Ecuadorean democracy a "partydocracy" designed to benefit parties rather than people,
a view shared by many voters fed up with corruption, greed and incompetence in the political establishment.
SURGE IN VIOLENCE SHOCKS EVEN WEARY MEXICO
The Washington Post
November 29, 2006
ZIHUATANEJO, Mexico -- Andrés Sauzo collects newspapers, astoundingly grisly newspapers.
There's the one with the close-up shot of a severed human head. There's the one with
the wide-angle of a man hacked to death with a machete.
But the worst in his bulky archive of drug-war gore rolled off the presses the day
after someone found pieces of what used to be Sauzo's 24-year-old namesake. A hit man had decapitated
Sauzo's son, then chopped off his arms and legs. The killer was so unconcerned about being brought to
justice that he scrawled his own name and nickname -- "El Barby" -- on a note left with the mutilated
corpse.
Still, Sauzo's mother, Cristina Gomez, didn't bother to go to the police. "Why waste my time?" she said
in an interview. "This is the way it is in a town without laws."
Gomez's reaction and the audacity of Sauzo's murder -- one of 11 decapitations in the state of Guerrero this
year and one of 2,000 killings in a nationwide war between rival drug cartels -- are symptomatic of the
unraveling of the rule of law that has plagued Mexico for years.
But in the past year, the number of spectacularly gruesome killings and the intensity of civil unrest
have spiked to such alarming levels that even Mexicans who were once hardened by years of violence
are now shocked.
MEXICAN PRESIDENT-ELECT PICKS HARD-LINE INTERIOR MINISTER
The Washington Post
November 29, 2006
MEXICO CITY, Nov. 28 -- Mexican President-elect Felipe Calderon named a hard-line
conservative as interior minister Tuesday, and lawmakers slapped and pushed one another in a deepening
political crisis three days before Calderon takes power.
Francisco Ramirez Acuña was chosen to spearhead the new government's handling of unrest,
with Mexico reeling from leftist street protests over Calderon’s election, violence in the popular tourist
city of Oaxaca and a spate of bombings in the capital.
Ramirez Acuña, a close ally of the president-elect from the right wing of the ruling
National Action Party, also will play a key role in trying to win support in Congress for tax, energy
and labor reforms.
Calderon faces open hostility from left-wing parties who claim he stole the July 2 presidential election
and have vowed to prevent him from being sworn in on Friday.
In the lower house of Congress, rival deputies shoved and slapped each other and traded insults.
They then chanted abuses in a standoff that lasted more than an hour after leftist deputies
tried to seize control of the main podium.
CASTRO: I'M TOO SICK TO PARTY
The Miami Herald
Nov. 29, 2006
Cuban leader Fidel Castro Tuesday missed the opening event of his 80th birthday
celebrations, instead sending a note to a large gathering of supporters in Havana that he was ``in no
condition, according to the doctors, to face such a colossal gathering.''
In a brief written statement read aloud to an audience of hundreds of guests at
the Karl Marx Theater, Castro said he faced a dilemma: Only the mammoth theater could fit all of the
invited guests, yet doctors said he couldn't be around so many people.
''I opted for the variant of speaking to all, using this means,'' said the statement.
``My thought about glory and honor, as expressed by [José] Martí, is well-known, when he said that all
[glory and honor] fit inside a grain of corn.''
Castro's note also said the United States' leadership had created a crisis of such magnitude that
``the American people themselves will almost surely not allow him [President Bush] to finish his term.''
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